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[财经新闻] 病毒大流行给德国贸易伙伴造成的重创

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发表于 2020-8-18 09:59 | 显示全部楼层 |阅读模式
德国的经济正在持续恢复,但恢复的速度和质量尤其取决于其最重要的贸易伙伴:那么,美国,英国和其他国家的情况如何?

德国经济专家相信今年夏天德国的经济将强劲增长,但是问题是:德国的增长是否足以迅速弥补因抗击新冠大流行而引发的经济急剧衰退?

据联邦统计局的数据,从今年4月到6月的第二季度,德国经济产出下降了10.1%,而第一季度则下降了1.8%。

德国经济复苏的力量和速度将在很大程度上取决于全球经济的发展,也就是德国最重要的贸易伙伴。

-来自美国的坏消息引起了一些困惑:美国经济在第二季度真的暴跌了32.9%吗?实际上,这一暴跌幅度是由于美国和德国统计方法不同造成的。德国的数据是和上个季度相比,而美国则计算年化,如果按照德国这种季度计算的话,实际上,美国第二季度的下降幅度为9.5%。

-法国受到新冠大流行的打击较早,负面影响也更为严重。发过第二季度的经济损失也更大。从4月到6月,法国的国内生产总值(GDP)下降了13.8%。但是,与德国一样,已经有早期指标经表明经济将出现重大复苏。

-刚刚离开欧盟的英国最初想通过完成群体免疫的方式来对抗这种大流行,后来才转向接触限制。目前,该国不仅是欧洲发生新冠死亡人数最多的国家,而且也是所有主要工业国家中经济衰退最严重的国家:今年第二季度的经济大幅度下滑20.4%,而且,未来还存在与欧盟的贸易关系到底走向何方这个棘手的问题。

-中国是最早通过封锁措施来控制病毒的国家。新冠疫情早在一月份的武汉就已经爆发,所以今年中国一季度的经济萎缩了6.8%。这是北京从1992年开始发布季度经济数据以来的首次负增长。而第二季度的经济增长率就达到令人印象深刻的3%,是所有强大经济体中唯一在第二季度还有经济增长的国家。但是,中国经济是否能真正回到强劲增长道路还不能确定。

-从流行病学的角度来看,日本并没有经历严重的病毒危机:该国有1.4亿人口,人口数量高于工业国平均水平,但到目前为止,日本的新冠死亡人数仅略高于1000。从经济上讲,日本与德国一样紧密地与其他工业国家交织在一起。结果,第二季度经济产出下降了7.8%。

-对于德国来说,除了上述主要贸易伙伴外,欧盟内部市场众多小国的发展也很重要。今年第二季度,整个欧盟的经济产出下降了11.9%,跌幅比德国更严重。特别是缺乏旅游收入的葡萄牙(-14.1%)和西班牙(-18.5%)是欧盟国家中受到病毒打击尤其严重的国家。

金融投资第一步要开投资账户:

每单固定手续费1欧的手机投资账户tradere public
, 目前德国收费最低的投资户头,非常推荐。


1.特别适合小额投资的便宜户头flatex投资账户,交易费只要5.9欧起

2.开户第一年每单手续费固定3,9欧的 consorsbank投资户头

3.手续费半价的1822,730 个基金定投计划可选,开户送100欧亚马逊购物卷

4.comdirec所有交易的交易手续费(Transaktionskosten)是固定的3.9欧, 这是非常低廉的费用了。



点这里申请户头



其他账户请参考
点击直达德国投资账户比价器


具体比价指南和收费行情请参考:德国8月投资账户行情和比价指南,帮你找到最便宜的Depot

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发表于 2020-8-19 04:14 | 显示全部楼层
德国喜宝小鸭子洗手洗脸泡沫三瓶包邮只要90元!
Travel bans meant to stop the coronavirus from getting to the US from China and Europe came too late, according to a new analysis of cases from the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.

The US restricted travel from China on February 2 and from Europe on March 13, but by March 8, Covid-19 was already circulating among the community in New York City and, by March 15, community transmission of the virus was already widespread, the analysis found.
What was circulating most closely matched the strain of the virus circulating in Europe, not China, which President Donald Trump has repeatedly blamed for not preventing its spread to the US.
By the time the Trump administration had placed travel restrictions on Europe, the importation of the virus and the community spread of the disease had already started in New York City, according to the report. Testing was limited at the start of the epidemic in New York City, which allowed people with undetected cases to spread the virus.
Trump has repeatedly pointed to his travel bans as evidence that his administration has effectively responded to the pandemic, claiming as recently as Tuesday that "we saved millions, potentially millions of lives."
The new study looked at data collected by the New York Department of Health and Mental Hygiene between March 1 and 20, the early days of the pandemic in the US. The department announced on March 8 that there was sustained community transmission.
The department examined specimens taken from people who went to the emergency room with flu-like symptoms. Of the 544 specimens tested, 36, or 6.6%, were positive for the novel coronavirus.
Doing additional genetic sequencing of the samples, the strain of the virus more closely resembled the one circulating in Europe, rather than the one circulating in China. That means that the novel coronavirus was likely introduced to New York through Europe or by travelers from other US locations, the report said.
CNN reported in April that two separate research projects started earlier this year also suggested as much, also suggesting the virus may have been circulating in the city earlier than thought.
There are currently more than 3,497,000 confirmed cases of coronavirus in the US, and the virus has claimed the lives of more than 137,000 Americans, according to data from Johns Hopkins University.
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