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英文原文:
The end of car inflation is imminent
The car market has been seen as a microcosm of inflation. Prices for used cars have skyrocketed in recent years. But now the situation is changing and prices for some cars will soon plunge.
After the pandemic, both new and used car markets have gone mad. In addition to unprecedented price increases, delivery times have also been extended. The price of used cars has fallen slightly since March, down 0.8% from April on the online platform AutoScout24. New cars are following a similar trend. Although car prices are still very high, a reversal in trend is imminent.
Distorted car market
Multiple crises around the world have created a distorted situation in the car market. First, the pandemic severely limited the production of new cars, and secondly, there were bottlenecks in the supply of semiconductors and other components. Globally, millions of new registered vehicles have been reduced. In Germany alone, the number of new cars during the pandemic is one million less than usual.
This has led to a backlog in the used car market, leading to a shortage of sources for used cars. Many buyers can only buy used cars. A decrease in supply and an increase in demand inevitably leads to a significant increase in the price of used cars. Of course, many traders may take advantage of this.
Endlein said, "I think car trading will reduce prices." On average, used cars are sold by dealers after being stored for about 90 days. This time is too long." Endlein also doubts that "risk inventories" will increase.
Although some people in the market still hope to maintain high prices, the bottleneck in raw materials and accessories has been basically resolved, and car production has resumed. The car market is about to return to normal. Although companies like Volkswagen still have hundreds of thousands of new car orders, it can be foreseen that their orders will decrease in autumn. Ferdinand Dudenhöffer's analysis of the car research center shows that actual sales prices have fallen.
Manufacturers and dealers gave an average discount of 17.2% in May on the basis of the quoted price. But they are also trying to maintain this price. Dudenhöffer called it a double-edged strategy of hitting the gas while stepping on the brake. This automotive expert believes this is likely to make new car buyers even more reluctant to buy cars, further increasing the pressure to reduce prices. He said, "It's obvious: customers will take the lead again."
Translated by:AI翻译
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